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中华普通外科学文献(电子版) ›› 2022, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (01) : 67 -73. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1674-0793.2022.01.015

循证医学

中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值在新亚特兰大分类标准下对重症急性胰腺炎早期预测价值的Meta分析和系统评价
刘晓宁1, 刘冰2,(), 马丽琼1, 苏嫦娥1, 苗建军2   
  1. 1. 075000 张家口,陆军第八十一集团军医院重症医学科
    2. 075000 张家口,陆军第八十一集团军医院普通外科
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-30 出版日期:2022-02-01
  • 通信作者: 刘冰

Role of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in the early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis based on the revised Atlanta classification: A systematic review and Meta-analysis

Xiaoning Liu1, Bing Liu2,(), Liqiong Ma1, Chang’e Su1, Jianjun Miao2   

  1. 1. Intensive Care Unit, the 81st Group Army Hospital of PLA, Zhangjiakou 075000, China
    2. Department of General Surgery, the 81st Group Army Hospital of PLA, Zhangjiakou 075000, China
  • Received:2021-08-30 Published:2022-02-01
  • Corresponding author: Bing Liu
引用本文:

刘晓宁, 刘冰, 马丽琼, 苏嫦娥, 苗建军. 中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值在新亚特兰大分类标准下对重症急性胰腺炎早期预测价值的Meta分析和系统评价[J]. 中华普通外科学文献(电子版), 2022, 16(01): 67-73.

Xiaoning Liu, Bing Liu, Liqiong Ma, Chang’e Su, Jianjun Miao. Role of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in the early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis based on the revised Atlanta classification: A systematic review and Meta-analysis[J]. Chinese Archives of General Surgery(Electronic Edition), 2022, 16(01): 67-73.

目的

系统评价中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值(NLR)在新亚特兰大分类标准下对重症急性胰腺炎(SAP)早期预测的价值。

方法

计算机检索中国知网、万方、维普、PubMed、Embase、Web of Science及Cochrane Library数据库自建库至2021年1月发表的关于NLR对SAP预测价值的相关文献。两位评价者对文献严格按照纳入和排除标准独立筛选和资料提取,采用QUADAS-2量表进行质量评价。使用STATA 15.1和Meta-DiSc1.4软件进行统计学分析,双变量混合效应模型用于计算合并的敏感度、特异度、阳性似然比、阴性似然比和诊断优势比,并绘制综合受试者工作特征曲线。

结果

最终纳入12篇文献2 299例患者,其中SAP患者337例。NLR对SAP预测价值的敏感度、特异度、阳性似然比、阴性似然比和诊断优势比分别为0.79(95% CI:0.72~0.84)、0.76(95% CI:0.70~0.81)、3.26(95% CI:2.64~4.03)、0.28(95% CI:0.22~0.37)、11.55(95% CI:7.93~16.81),综合受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.84(95% CI:0.81~0.87)。

结论

NLR作为一项反映全身炎性反应水平快速、简便且价格低廉的指标,对早期预测SAP具有一定的临床价值。

Objective

To systematically evaluate the clinical efficacy of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the early prediction of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) based on the revised Atlanta classification.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted using CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane library and Embase databases from the date of establishment to January 2021. Two independent authors evaluated the eligibility of the studies and performed data extraction. The QUADAS-2 was used to assess the quality of diagnostic accuracy studies included in this meta-analysis. Statistical analyses were performed using the STATA 15.1 and Meta-DiSc1.4 software. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR-), diagnosis of odds ratio (DOR) and symmetric receiver operator characteristic (SROC) curves, as well as the area under the SROC curve (AUC), were assessed using the bivariate mixed effects models.

Results

Totally 12 studies with 2 299 patients were included, containing 337 SAP patients. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, LR+, LR- and DOR of the NLR for predicting SAP were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.84), 0.76 (95% CI: 0.70-0.81), 3.26 (95% CI: 2.64-4.03), 0.28 (95% CI: 0.22-0.37), 11.55 (95% CI: 7.93-16.81), respectively. The AUC was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.81-0.87).

Conclusion

NLR is a readily available and convenient marker reflecting the level of systemic inflammatory response, with a certain clinical value in early prediction of SAP.

表1 纳入研究的12篇文献的基本情况
表2 纳入研究的12篇文献的诊断参数
图1 文献检索和筛选流程图
图2 QUADAS-2量表对纳入文献的评价条目图
图3 12项研究中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值早期预测重症急性胰腺炎合并的敏感度和特异度森林图
图4 中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值早期预测重症急性胰腺炎的综合受试者工作特征曲线图
表3 Meta回归及亚组分析结果
图5 Meta回归和亚组分析森林图
图6 双变量混合效应模型的敏感度分析图
图7 Fagan图评价中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值早期预测重症急性胰腺炎的临床适用性
图8 Deeks’漏斗图评估纳入文献是否存在发表偏倚
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